I refer to the response received below to my previous FOI Act request. I question whether the figures provided are accurate. For example, we estimate the revenue to TfL over 5 years to be £313.6 million versus the figure provided by TfL of £55.3 million. Our figures are based on data supplied in recent consultation documents on the ULEZ as explained in the attached document. Even if the £55.3 million is an annual cost (rather than the cost “over 5 years” as indicated) that would still be considerably lower than our estimates. Could you please provide an explanation for the discrepancy. In addition, please accept this as a further FOI request: 1. Please provide a breakdown of the estimated income from the expansion of the ULEZ between 2017/2018 and 2021/2022 which is indicated as being £55.3 million, between various sources, e.g. fees paid by non-compliant cars, LGVs, motorcycles and PHVs and how the figures were calculated. Also indicate whether any figure has been included for penalty charges and if so how it was calculated. 2. Please provide a breakdown of the estimated additional operating costs of £12.7 million “over 5 years” between 2017/2018 and 2021/2022 showing how that estimate was calculated and whether it includes any “enforcement” costs (and if so how much).

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TfL Ref: FOI-4257-1718

Thank you for your request received by Transport for London (TfL) on 24 January asking for information about the Ultra Low Emission Zone (ULEZ).

Your request has been considered in accordance with the requirements of the Environmental Information Regulations and our information access policy. I can confirm that we hold the information you require. You asked:

Even if the £55.3 million is an annual cost (rather than the cost “over 5 years” as indicated) that would still be considerably lower than our estimates. Could you please provide an explanation for the discrepancy.

In addition, please accept this as a further FOI request:

1. Please provide a breakdown of the estimated income from the expansion of the ULEZ between 2017/2018 and 2021/2022 which is indicated as being £55.3 million, between various sources, e.g. fees paid by non-compliant cars, LGVs, motorcycles and PHVs and how the figures were calculated. Also indicate whether any figure has been included for penalty charges and if so how it was calculated.
2. Please provide a breakdown of the estimated additional operating costs of £12.7 million “over 5 years” between 2017/2018 and 2021/2022 showing how that estimate was calculated and whether it includes any “enforcement” costs (and if so how much).

The Ultra Low Emission Zone (ULEZ) scheme is scheduled to go live in April 2019 within the Congestion Charging zone. The income and operating costs provided to you by TfL previously (of £55.3m and £12.7m respectively) were valid as per the date of your original request. They covered the implementation of ULEZ in the Congestion Charging zone in 2019 and covered two years up to 2020-21. This is because it was understood that your request related to the earlier consultation for ULEZ implementation in the Congestion Charging zone in 2019. Subject to the outcome of public consultation, we propose to expand ULEZ further, to roughly the North/South circular roads in London in 2021.

We are in the process of refining income estimates for this proposed enhanced scheme, but we feel it is appropriate to provide you with our latest combined estimates which covers both ULEZ implementation in 2019 in the congestion charging zone and the proposed expansion in 2021 (subject to consultation). These are based on our business plan published in December 2017. We are therefore providing estimates to 2022-23, as per the table below. Please note that we will be refining these estimates further in due course.

ULEZ Implementation in 2019 and proposed expansion in 2021 (subject to consultation)
	2019/20	2020/21	2021/22	2022/23
Operating Income	56	92	126	135
Operating Costs	(10)	(27)	(87)	(93)
Net Operating Total	46	64	39	42

The above financial figures have been calculated using the below assumptions. Within the calculation we also include the estimated impact that the Ultra Low Emission Zone will have on our current congestion charging income and a risk provision.

Please see the attached information sheet for details of your right to appeal.

Yours sincerely,

Melissa Nichols

FOI Case Officer

FOI Case Management Team

General Counsel

Transport for London

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